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Brad Gray's tips for Rosehill gardens: Saturday - 15th June 2024

Picture: Steve Hart

Race 1 - 11:00AM CHANDON HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

It was a disaster from start to finish for the John Sargent-trained 9. Vetwelve at Canterbury on debut. Having been sandwiched soon after jump he was spat out the back early. That proved no disadvantage given the way the race was run, setting it up for the closers but he copped interference a number of times in the straight. Some of that was exaggerated by his own greenness but he never got the chance to really let down. Despite that he was only beaten two lengths by Depth Of Character, who is one of the favourites on Saturday. Granted, Vetwelve was sent around $61 two weeks ago but there is a big price discrepancy. The blinkers go on for the first time out to 1400m, which suits off pedigree being a son of Grunt, draws soft and carries just 52.5kg after the claim.

Dangers: Hard race to be confident about with differing form lines but 1. Sovereign Hill looks a deserved favourite on what he has done to date. Didn't handle the heavy track at Newcastle first up before running second, albeit a distant one, to Emirate. That was on a deteriorating track. One race later it was rated heavy. He'll appreciate a drier deck. 5. Goodlucktome had his chance on debut at Kembla Grange but respect that he jumped a heavily backed odds on favourite. There was 5.5 lengths back to third and the horse he beat him was a three-year-old and nine start maiden prior. 4. Swiftfalcon looks desperate for 1400m. It should suit 6. Shanwah too.

How To Play It: Vetwelve EACH WAY

Race 2 - 11:35AM MIDWAY HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

Went around in circles looking for something to beat 14. Glenbower but kept coming back to the lightly-raced three-year-old. He has a tonne more upside than anything else here. The Churchill colt resumed from a 14-month break at Newcastle five weeks ago and justified the heavy late support, landing a plunge. He travelled in behind the speed, levelled up to the leader and raced clear to win eased down. There was five lengths back to third, and gaps right back through the field. Four of his rivals from that race, including the placegetters, have subsequently failed since so he didn't beat much but the overall time was three lengths faster than the BM64 later at the meeting. He maps to again get his chance to stalk the speed. Most of these have found their level. He hasn't.

Dangers: Have to respect how dominant 18. Yiska was in Midway company last start beating many of the horses that line up here. Had been racing well all campaign without much luck but once everything fell into he place he was emphatic. 10. Iron Man resumed from a 37 week break but he wasn't beaten far by Bunker Hut first up last preparation. The best of Ironman goes close here and he has won both trials ahead of his return. 5. Cripps Tonite faded badly late to be well beaten by Yiska first up. He is better than that. 3. So Good So Cool was beaten five lengths by Yiska but was only first up. Still expected a touch more from him late. Just needs a lot to go right given his racing style and the wide draw. 13. Flightcrew is thereabouts again while 1. Conrad resumes from a bleeding attack.

How To Play It: Glenbower WIN

Race 3 - 12:10PM TAB HIGHWAY HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

2. Know Thyself lost his unbeaten tag at Canterbury first up but, arguably, he shouldn't have. The three-year-old was luckless in defeat, momentarily held up at a critical point in the straight. The Autumn Sun gelding flashed home into second with 60kg on his back in BM64 company. He had won his both starts prior at Newcastle and Scone big dominant margins at very short odds. We're talking $1.24 and $1.30. The step out to 1400m looks perfect now. Barrier 1 elicits some nerves given he again finds himself an odds on favourite, as he'll need a split to fall his way but he can settle a pair closer than last start. Training duo Paul Messara and Leah Gavranich have an eye on the Winx Guineas over the mile such is their opinion of the horse. That should see him too classy for these.

Dangers11. Invasive Dreams didn't get a lot of room herself last start. It was a hidden run, clocking some of the fastest closing splits of the meeting when midfield at Warwick Farm. She has been sent around $151 and $41 in her two runs back but this is by far the most winnable assignment and she looks well suited out to 1400m. 9. Ensign Parker boxed on well in a Highway set up for the closers at Randwick three weeks ago. He was also five weeks between runs. He beat home Sonofdec prior to that at Muswellbrook. Some query at 1400m. 1. Shihab can mix his form but he launched late to win at Taree last start. Three starts back he ran second to Let's Try in BM68 company. 4. Agirlsbestfriend and 7. Mckeon have both run well in Highways in the past.

How To Play It: Know Thyself WIN

Race 4 - 12:45PM JAMES SQUIRE HANDICAP (2000 METRES)

11. Gulf Of Mexico ran home in a slick last 400m at Hawkesbury last start. He was beaten fair and square by Be Real but she came out and franked the form line last Saturday at Randwick. Gulf Of Mexico was heavily backed late to start a clear favourite. That was on the back of an inconclusive sixth at Kensington first up, his first run in Australia, given he didn't get much room to let down in the straight. The import has a turn of foot, he proved that last start, immeasurable upside with just seven starts to his name and drops sharply in weight to carry just 53.5kg. After winning his maiden in Ireland over the mile he was tested in Group company. The only knock is the barrier but we'll leave that to Alysha Collett. Perhaps she can slide forward early.

Dangers7. Perfect Play found himself pocketed momentarily at Scone last start. Doubt he beats the winner but he should have finished closer. There was only 1.5L from first to sixth which is a little red flag in itself but out to 2000m now looks a perfect progression, despite being four weeks between runs having missed the run at Rosehill two weeks ago after the meeting was abandoned. His tactical speed looks significant given the make-up of the field. 3. For Victory finished second to Unusual Legacy in that same Scone race. Finds himself in career best form. That sees him thereabouts again. 9. Lyrical Gangster is always a hard watch coming on and off the bridle but once he finds top gear he can motor late. 5. Kureder will keep plugging away while 6. Principessa has won on a three day back up before so should bounce off last Saturday's run.

How To Play It: Gulf Of Mexico WIN

Race 5 - 1:20PM TAB HANDICAP (1400 METRES)

5. Captain Furai travelled into the straight at Rosehill like the winner two weeks ago but was no match for Franz Josef who ploughed through the mud to win emphatically. Captain Furai kept trying in defeat, holding a two length margin on the rest of the field. Back slightly in trip to 1400m shouldn't bother him, nor will the prospect of getting onto firmer footing. Prior to that the son of Toronado had won his first two starts, and he won in style. He isn't the biggest three-year-old so rising another kilogram in the weights may start to hurt but wouldn't say this BM72 is any harder than the one he faced last start. He jumps a similar price and rightly so. Tricky gate on paper but Josh Parr navigated a similar draw last time out. Captain Furai has good early speed.

Dangers4. Little Cointreau draws wide too but there are five emergencies to come out. He has won three of his past four starts adding to that tally first up at Canterbury. Not an easy track to win from where he settled in the run. He ran down the consistent Bunker Hut. None of his wins have been by more than a length. He simply knows how to win. Admirable. Would be keen on 3. Silvanito had he drawn a gate. He too draws out with the main chances. Comes through a deep race at Scone behind Elson Boy. It has produced five subsequent winners. Didn't handle the heavy track second up having run second to Commemorative first up. 10. Wild Gypsy comes through the same Franz Josef race as Captain Furai and stuck on well late. 8. How Dare You and 14. Demiana rate mentions.

How To Play It: Captain Furai WIN

Race 6 - 1:55PM PRECISE AIR HANDICAP (1300 METRES)

6. Left Field has been brilliant in her three runs back. She charged home in the Denise's Joy at Scone two starts ago, holding her own against the likes of Commemorative. She then did her best breaststroke impression at Rosehill last start, trying ever so hard in the conditions only to come off second best to Cigar Flick, the superior heavy tracker. Don't love the jump to 1300m, nor the prospect of a sit-sprint though.

Dangers4. Demiana will be out to overcome a similar gate on Saturday. Her race might be won or lost in the first couple of hundred metres. Got the winning feeling back. 7. Hide Your Heart just below out late at Warwick Farm first up. Strips fitter and comes back to her own sex. 9. Amati was great behind Demiana but has teased in the past, much like 8. Anagain.

How To Play It: Left Field WIN

Race 7 - 2:30PM ATC FOUNDATION HANDICAP (1100 METRES)

5. Hanau started to work it out last campaign. The three-year-old was still learning on the job. He beat Xidaki in a Super Maiden to get on the board before missing in a bob of the heads at the midweeks. He atoned with a dominant Canterbury win, albeit having found the fast lane on the fence. The son of Snitzel, out of a mare that is a full sister to Pierro, has trialled brilliantly ahead of his return. In the latest he trucked through the line alongside Pereille. Confident that we'll see him take another step forward this time back. Like the 1100m first up, drawn well, in what promises to be a truly run race with Passeggiata engaged. Should stalk forward of midfield. Want to follow him through the grades this time back, starting Saturday.

Dangers2. Passeggiata is a Rosehill 1100m winner in the past so the trip holds no fears despite having raced over 900m and 1000m in her past five starts. Bailey Wheeler has been tasked with harnessing her speed, taking 3kg off her back. 1. Everyone's A Star lines up for start 13 of her preparation but there is no reason to tip her out, given she just keeps showing up. Gets a soft run from the draw and can figure again at double figure odds. Goes in all trifectas and first fours. 11. Pisanello didn't handle the conditions at Rosehill last start. Best judge him off his Scone win prior. The map presents problems over the Rosehill 1100m but should be rattling home. 14. In Flight can also bounce back from that same race. Respect how firm both were in betting.

How To Play It: Hanau WIN

Race 8 - 3:05PM KIA WINTER CUP (2400 METRES)

It may have been the one that got away for 2. Hopeful last Saturday at Randwick. He was luckless in the Lord Mayor's Cup behind Eliyass. As impressive as the winner was at his first Australian run, there's a case to be made that Hopeful would have won with clear running. He's well placed to atone here. The key to this horse is wet ground. He should get that on Saturday. It's unlikely to be heavy but a soft track will suffice. The seven-year-old was five weeks between runs last start. This is a new challenge for him, running on the quick back up for the first time. Out to 2400m looks to suit though, having run second to Circle Of Fire over 2600m back in April. Can offset the wide gate with a positive early ride.

Dangers1. Sir Lucan is hard to attack with confidence after his effort in the Lord Mayor's. He was firm in betting late but floundered in the heavy going. That appears to be him. His form can be patchy but if the best version turns up, he'll take running down. 5. Bonny Ezra boxed away at Eagle Farm last start having won at the Sunshine Coast prior. He is a fit stayer coming down from Queensland, a formula Chris Waller has used with success in the past. 11. Funambulist is also deep into a campaign. He bumped into Naval Commission last start. He's no nonsense, stays all day and is very genuine. 7. Point King creates interest on the back of support first up. He didn't fire but could improve sharply.

How To Play It: Hopeful WIN

Race 9 - 3:45PM RACING FOR GOOD ON JULY 13 HANDICAP (1500 METRES)

6. Franz Josef is a powerhouse three-year-old. Had to be impressed by the way he charged through the line to win over this same track and trip last start having led. He clocked the fastest last 200m in the race. He is an imposing horse with his asset the ability to roll along at a clip before quickening. That's now three wins from his first four starts. Kerrin McEvoy rode two weeks ago and sticks with the son of Snitzel. Rises slightly in grade from last start but he profiles to skip through the ratings over the winter. Particularly now that he has proven himself on all going. He'll have some company up front but drawn barrier 3, he'll get first look at finding the fence. They'd need to be going quick for him to hand up. His only defeat to date coincided with him being dictated to first up over 1300m. He is a momentum style of galloper.

Dangers16. Captain Furai gets a 2kg weight swing to help him turn the tables on Franz Josef from last start. He travelled into the straight like the winner. Beat third comfortably and maps to jump straight onto the back of Franz Josef in the run. The pair have made a habit of clashing. Hawkes-trained filly 15. Allapercanto is starting to put it all together. She scooted clear late to win at the midweeks last start in good style, backing up a win at Hawkesbury. Earns crack in this company now. Draws wide. 9. Nails Murphy was never asked for anything last start having copped interference in a messy race at Randwick. Forget that. Every time he runs he is supported in betting. 1. I'mintowin won over this track and trip first up last campaign. 12. Ivan's Hero comes through a hot race at Scone while 13. Danish Prince can never be discounted.

How To Play It: Franz Josef WIN

Race 10 - 4:25PM ROSEHILL BOWLING CLUB HANDICAP (1300 METRES)

9. Sir Ravanelli may have been flattered by the heavy track at Newcastle last start, and his ability to get through testing tracks, but it was a big win none-the-less. The grey made a wide, looping run in the middle of the track and sustained his sprint. He beat Starman, who doesn't make a habit of winning, but is a good benchmark for this level of Saturday race. Prior to that Sir Ravanelli was a luckless second at Canterbury having been held up in the straight. He might be a six-year-old but the gelding looks to have returned better again. He is now eight wins from 22 starts. Like the prospect of him being buried away in behind the speed, getting last look in what promises to be a truly run race. There's chances right down the page but he profiles as well as anything here.

Dangers: The knock on 14. Step Aside is the price. On what he has done to date he doesn't deserve to be so well found in such an open race. That's not to say he won't improve again in his fourth preparation but he is priced on potential. Has trialled well, maps well and has won first up in his past two campaigns. 10. Elson Boy is a winning machine! He chases six straight wins and beat Ostraka on his merits at Scone last start. That's proven to be a deep form race. Reluctant to dive in now at single figure odds but he's hard to knock, especially given his racing style. 7. Able Willie is the opposite. He likes to stalk, and pounce late. Amy McLucas timed it perfectly last start and the runner up Pure Alpha has since won himself. Then there's 5. King Of Naples3. Testator Silens and 6. Peace Officer to throw a few more names around.

How To Play It: Sir Ravanelli WIN