Horse Racing
18 minutes ago
SA Racing tips: Brett Davis' full Saturday selections at Morphettville (14/11)
By Brett Davis
South Australian form analyst Brett Davis has given his best bets for racing in SA this Saturday.
On SENTrack & RSN's Giddy Up, Moore gave his thoughts on the Morphettville meeting.
See his best bets below:
BEST BETS
MATHEMATICIAN (Race 4, No.5)
KAZARU (Race 7, No.4)
VALUE
FLOSSING (Race 5, No.4)
TEARDROP ROTATION (Race 8, No.7)
Race 1 - 1:07PM The Fotobase Group Maiden Plate (1000 METRES)
GANGLAND did plenty wrong on debut at Ballarat/Synthetic when punted to start $1.55 fav after encouraging trial win at Caulfield over 1000m. Won 850m Ballarat trial October 10, before working strongly in blinkers October 23, demands respect with Todd Pannell to ride. OUR BRAVE BOY comes to Morphettville Parks chasing a Racing Rewards bonus following two solid efforts back this campaign. Did plenty wrong under Noel Callow on October 10 but stuck to the task reasonably well in the straight. Cross over nose band off implies he’ll be let run and take catching. PURE CROWN placed at both runs in July before being freshened up for today’s contest. No additional trial or jump outs but from a highly reputable stable, market best guide. CHIX DIGGUS lead most of the way first up over 1050m before being overhauled final strides as race favourite, draws wide but has sufficient speed to offset and potentially cross, can’t be dismissed.
SELECTION: 4 GANGLAND, 5 Our Brave Boy, 6 Pure Crown, 3 Chix Diggus
PLAY: GANGLAND - Win/Place
Race 2 - 1:42PM Sportsbet Fast Form Handicap (Heat Sportsbet Rebel Raider Series) (1250 METRES)
NOLABELL led all the way to win maiden by a big margin a Strathalbyn October 21, as the well backed favourite. Drawn perfectly for Morphettville Parks debut and should contest the lead. Winning chance. CZECH OUT looking for hat-trick after finishing best at his past couple. Has big weight and unsavoury barrier but is yet to perform poorly this campaign, won’t be easily overwhelmed. ARIZONA DREAMER won with plenty in hand first run back in 20 weeks over 1050m after settling at the tail of the field. Tougher here, with change of venue whilst upping in distance and class, but obviously talented, we’ll learn more today. SIDEBAR led all the way to score in early September over 1200m at Murray Bridge and has since been competitive in stronger races. Scratched from Balaklava on Wednesday.
SELECTIONS: 7 NOLABELL, 1 Czech Out, 6 Arizona Dreamer, 3 Sidebar
PLAY: WIDER EXOTICS
Race 3 - 2:17PM Schweppes Handicap (1300 METRES)
SHYSTER went good first up at Pakenham/Synthetic 1200m before overworking middle stages 1400m at Cranbourne second up. Has experience this track and trip and looks the outright leader, hard to catch if he gets into rhythm. SICILIAN PRINCESS good on pace effort Morphettville 1200m following 20-week spell and strong record this track and trip. Likely to box seat just off speed with Jake Toeroek to take over the reins. A definite threat. STARTIDE came with a big finish at Murray Bridge over 1200m on October 28, capable on her day and worthy of inclusion now she’s found winning form. BONFIRE GIRL won last two in much easier grade but noted front runner with confidence levels high. Can push up from the low draw and box seat behind the speed. Scratched from Wednesday at Balaklava to run here, value option.
SELECTIONS: 5 SHYSTER, 8 Sicilian Princess, 10 Startide, 6 Bonfire Girl
PLAY: SHYSTER
Race 4 - 2:52PM Sportsbet Race Replays Handicap (Heat Sportsbet Happy Trails Series) (1572 METRES)
MATHEMATICIAN won first two starts in good style before contesting black type races during the Adelaide autumn carnival. Arrives with three trial wins under the belt, the latest a comfortable effort at Murray Bridge over 800m, has plenty of ability. BOYD super competitive and honest galloper this campaign and expected to hold a prominent position on the rail, if not lead. Shall fight all the way to the line. DEEPFLOAT DIVA talented galloper when he puts it all together and in solid form at the end of winter. Trialled up nicely winning a heat at Murray Bridge October 29, with Jake Toeroek aboard. Should gain a trail of the back of strong speed. UP THE DEN solid form throughout this preparation and strong effort at Bm80 level last start. Drawn well with a claim.
SELECTIONS: 5 MATHEMATICIAN, 4 Boyd, 2 Deepfloat Diva, 3 Up The Den
PLAY: MATHEMATICIAN
Race 5 - 3:27PM Greenway Turf Solutions Handicap (1572 METRES)
FLOSSING continues to race with enthusiasm and grit and can’t be discarded after hard closing second in town last start. The pace should be strong throughout here which’ll play to his strengths while jockey Tala Hutchinson is now familiar with his traits. BARGAIN BOY is yet to miss a place this track and trip and stepped awkwardly last start before over racing middle stages. Should obtain a cushy run in transit before striking in the stretch. Stable and jockey combo in form. CIELAO wasn’t beaten far after beginning slowly Oct 31, 1200m. Rise in distance to 1572m can assist along with tongue tie going on first time. Better than recent form appears and worthy of consideration. FLAMING NAVY fitter for two runs back and drawn to do no work in the run. Capable of better result with blinkers coming off third up.
SELECTION: 4 FLOSSING, 3 Bargain Boy, 6 Cielao, 2 Flaming Navy
PLAY: FLOSSING - Win/Place
Race 6 - 4:07PM Winning Edge Presentations Handicap (1000 METRES)
IT’SANOTHERBATTLE raced fiercely early when first up off 28-week break but careered away to win class 2 with utter brilliance. Stays in the grade while the low draw provides the preferred environment regarding rail to follow. Should lead and win again. TOBBIKKO showed encouragement second campaign despite being unable to win. Trialled solidly against a good one at Murray Bridge in the lead up to today’s return. Should run well. HOT STATEMENT hasn’t done much racing over the past 12 months but displayed ability early on winning twice at 1050m. Moved well enough in two barrier trials leading into first up effort. Worthy of consideration. INHABIT has plenty of pace and should be up in firing line for most of the way. Been solid in all three runs since a freshen up, include in exotics.
SELECTIONS: 5 IT’SANOTHERBATTLE, 4 Tobikko, 1 Hot Statement, 10 Inhabit
PLAY: IT’SANOTHERBATTLE
Race 7 - 4:46PM Peter Rovedatti Handicap (1983 METRES)
KAZARU listed winner at her best and arrives in Adelaide third up this campaign. Drawn to do no work from the inside gate before joining in when they turn for home. Has the credentials to get the job done with excuses justified last start. SOMEWHERE SOON beaten favourite last start but continues to race well overall. Another rise in distance today from a horror draw won’t be easily overcome but should finish hard. TOTTORI been up a while but continues to race with heart and consistency. A chance to hold a more forward position from the good draw around this tight turning track. Right in this with luck. SYNTHESISE should obtain run of the race from draw and had excuses recently after begging awkwardly. Winner at Balaklava prior for this jockey and could further improve through this campaign, worth including.
SELECTIONS: 4 KAZARU, 5 Somewhere Soon, 2 Tottori, 6 Synthesise
PLAY: KAZARU - WIN/PLACE
Race 8 - 5:30PM Sportsbet Jockey Watch Handicap (1572 METRES)
TEARDROP ROTATION gradually recapturing better form after lengthy winter spell highlighted by a courageous effort in the Gawler Cup when fourth up on October 23. Excellent record for jockey Felicity Atkinson and a previous winner this track. Represents attractive win/place value in open contest. SHADOW EAGLE well place off a light weight from a good gate with Rochelle Milnes atop and must be strongly considered. A comprehensive win at Murray Bridge October 3, before strong contributions at Morphettville on two occasions, genuine contender. FREEDOM FLAME won the Murray Bridge Cup Prelude before solid effort at Caulfield over 2000m. Found bother in the listed John Letts Cup at the 800m before batting on well to the line. Has all the requirements to win. ALL TOO MYSTI won well at Morphettville most recently when faced with issues in the stretch. Been rock solid all campaign and deserves consideration despite the harder contest, drawn to be in the finish.
SELECTIONS: 7 TEARDROP ROTATION, 11 Shadow Eagle, 4 Freedom Flame, 9 All To Mysti
PLAY: TEARDROP ROTATION - Win/Place
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