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Ryan Phelan's Sunday best at Cranbourne (15/11)

By Ryan Phelan

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Ryan Phelan has your tips and Quaddies for Cranbourne harness Sunday night.

Race 1

OVERVIEW: SHEZALOVER (2) is backing up from Tuesday night, when she showed good gate speed to find the top and gave plenty of fight to finish 4th in a field that looked slightly stronger than what she meets here. There's been merit in all three runs for the new camp, and if she can get reasonable control over the short trip, she will take plenty of running down.FONDA RHONDA (5) creates interest first up from a break, having won a recent trial against a pacing stablemate. Last season, she strung together some nice performances in Sydney, beating stronger opposition. She's without a placing this season, but her best form has her right in it. MAJESTIC CHARMA (6) is enjoying a good season and has a particular liking for her home track, winning four from nine here. She will likely press forward, and while her map appears a little uncertain, her ability against this line-up cuts through. APRIL SUN (1) has mixed his form and manners a bit this season, but the inside draw and a slight drop in class could see an improved performance, so he's worth keeping safe.

SELECTIONS: SHEZALOVER (2), FONDA RHONDA (5), MAJESTIC CHARMA (6), APRIL SUN (1)

Race 2:

OVERVIEW: MAJOR MAURIE (2) has his first start for the new stable and has had one winning trial. Although he beat a trotter in moderate time, he did dash well at the end of it. He's well drawn to use his speed and either kick up to hold the front or at least find the leader's back. Despite needing fitness, he can return to winning form over the short trip. THE REGULATOR (8) won from the same draw at St Arnaud last start, where he finished off well along the passing lane in a moderate last half. He has a good record at this track, but his winning chances depend on whether he can map better than three pegs. SPUN SILVER (5) is the one who will have the most say in the speed map, regularly being a go-forward type who looks for the lead, particularly over the short trip. Her time capabilities may leave her vulnerable, but she'll be in it for a long way. CARUSO STAR (9) won't be able to display his gate speed, but the trailing draw in what looks a suitable grade gives him claims, while BANGBANG BOBBIE (10) and BONA KHAN (11) have tough draws to overcome but have minor claims if things work out.

BACK: MAJOR MAURIE (2) – 2 units (win)
SELECTIONS: MAJOR MAURIE (2), THE REGULATOR (8), SPUN SILVER (5), CARUSO STAR (9)

Race 3:

OVERVIEW: GOZO MAJOR (5) is a horse who seems to cruise at the same speed from start to finish and can look beaten, only to keep coming when the others are tiring. That was the case in his last win, where he was three wide for the trip, was last at the 200m and kept grinding away to win. The time capabilities are limited with many here, so the distance and tempo may work in his favour. BETA THAN LOVE (1) has been costly and hasn't won for over a year, but he keeps getting positive draws to map well with top drivers, so he's always popular in the market. He has the speed to either try to hold the lead or take cover, which may be the more likely option over the longer trip, and look to sprint-lane victory. ARRAPS (4) will be one going forward and is racing well despite managing only one win this season. If he happens to roll to the top, his chances will dramatically improve. BOND GIRL (8) draws softly, is a winner at this track and is often around the placegetters. If they happen to overcook things up front, she could be the beneficiary. ROCKNROLL RAMBO (3) finds a good draw and is getting closer but is winless this season, while FREAK OUT (9) drops in grade, likes this track and could be an improver.

SELECTIONS: GOZO MAJOR (5), BETA THAN LOVE (1), ARRAPS (4), BOND GIRL (8)

Race 4:

OVERVIEW: ROSBERG (1) appears well suited from the favourable draw to utilise his early gate speed, find the lead and control proceedings over the short trip. He's capable of running good times in stronger races than the opposition he faces here and comes off a narrow loss at Melton, where he found the line well in a sprint home. If he finds the top, he will take plenty of catching. ALL THINGS SPICY (8) appears fast enough to catch the leader's back should the pole marker hold up and was a winner from that position two runs back at this track. She's been racing well against quality opposition and looks a threat again. CHARLIE SEBASTIAN (3) is still a maiden but won't be for long on the back of consistent performances at this track and a strong SP profile. Chris Alford jumps on for the first time. LIBERTY STAR DUST (5) did things wrong last start, but her form prior was good, so she needs to be kept safe. I SEE RED (6) and EXOTIC CHESTER (9) would be strong winning chances on their best form, but their latest efforts are a slight query.

BACK: ROSBERG (1) – 2 units (win)
SELECTIONS: ROSBERG (1), ALL THINGS SPICY (8), EXOTIC CHESTER (9), CHARLIE SEBASTIAN (3)

Race 5:

OVERVIEW: A lovely group of 3yo trotting fillies headed by Oaks winner, IJUSTCANTSEEIT (3), who caused a major upset in winning that G1 but has since backed up that terrific performance with an unlucky 4th behind the boys in the Derby, rattling to the line when clear. She gets the barrier draw advantage over her main rivals here to press forward, although the opposition remains strong. ALDEBARAN ADA (8) has been respected at the top end of the market in many of her races yet hasn't been able to recapture the same zest that saw her win a rich feature at Wagga back in May. Her best is certainly good enough, so she must be kept safe. ADELAIDE RED (5) is a G1 winner herself and has been racing well, often taking on A-grade company. It's no easier here, but she must be respected. MEVIA (4) ran a better race last time, beating a few of these, so a repeat performance with Herbertson booked keeps her under notice.

BACK: IJUSTCANTSEEIT (3) – 3 units (win)
SELECTIONS: IJUSTCANTSEEIT (3), ALDEBARAN ADA (8), ADELAIDE RED (5), MEVIA (4)

Race 6:

OVERVIEW: CHINSKI (3) gets a nice draw to return to the winners' list. It was a similar marble that saw a win in September, when the lead was narrowly missed despite an early burn, before finding enough to come again and win. In similar grade two runs back, Chinski carried a flat tyre and does have a liking for this track and distance. SUZS DREAM (2) has won two of her last five and can show gate speed from this draw to map positively. She's having her first look at this track, with the only concern being that she often races better over a bit longer. WALKING ON WATER (4) is still a maiden, but she gives every indication a win isn't too far away. She's been runner-up at her past four runs and can work in her races, which is encouraging if she doesn't get the top or cover. ATEGO DAWN (1) gets the inside draw, and her last win came when she was able to lead from the same marble earlier this year. She's first up off one trial with fitness to come but keep her safe. MASSIF CENTRAL (6) can come out well, although I'm not sure he can cross. If he does, he comes into calculations.

SELECTIONS: CHINSKI (3), SUZS DREAM (2), WALKING ON WATER (4), ATEGO DAWN (1)

Race 7:

OVERVIEW: A mix of debutantes and 2yos, 3yos and 4yos at maiden level. MISTER THREEOFFIVE (8) presents as the most likely candidate, with a base of solid trial form and maturity. He was sent out an odds-on favourite at Wagga, only narrowly going down in a time that should cover most of these. He should be winning, and hopefully the draw allows a price to bet. HILLCROFT HUSTLER (4) is a 3yo having a third start and was good when sitting parked in a solid race, having previously finished 2nd behind a smart one in a sprint home. The barrier draw advantage is in his favour. BANIA (7) came through that same race at Melton last time, producing an improved effort to finish 4th. He had a solid SP profile prior off the trials, so despite the draw, he can run a race. They seem to be the major players, with IDEAL HIGH (2) and I AM MOLLY (3) chances for the minor money, while PACEMAKER (5) is a 2yo who gives away experience, but any market moves should be respected.

BACK: MISTER THREEOFFIVE (8) – 3 units (win)
SELECTIONS: MISTER THREEOFFIVE (8), HILLCROFT HUSTLER (4), BANIA (7), I AM MOLLY (3)

Race 8:

OVERVIEW: A wide finish to the Quaddie, with most of these either racing well or finding the right class level. HARLEY LANE (4) is a 4yo mare who's taken on some smart ones in her age group throughout her career. She resumed with a win in a winnable race but looked good in doing so. Herbertson will look to use her speed to get into a positive map, and with added fitness, she'll be hard to beat. MISTER AMERICANO (2) finds a good draw but doesn't have a lot of gate speed. He raced well sitting tough in a stronger race last time at Melton and prior was a winner in decent time. ROM BARO (6) has proven himself to be a more than handy type, taking on smart ones of his age group and then often winning when he drops back to easier grade. The draw means he may have to do work, but he's equal to the task. CYCLONE JENNI (5) loves this track, building a nice record, but now finds a more challenging affair. She's hard to knock on what she's been producing, however. They seem to be the major players, with ILLAWONG PHOENIX (1) and ELIZAJANE (7) chances with the right runs, while SEA FURY (8) is one I've had on top in tougher races than this, but I want to see him produce something before there's any confidence.

SELECTIONS: HARLEY LANE (4), MISTER AMERICANO (2), ROM BARO (6), CYCLONE JENNI (5)

Race 9:

OVERVIEW: A mix of ages and experience here, with 2yos, 3yos and older horses, so it's a little tricky to line them up. LANIKAI WARRIOR (1) is a 2yo who ran good time and looked strong in winning last time out at Wagga. He showed good gate speed to lead there, so the draw and distance are in his favour to go back-to-back. MISSMALACHITE (8) doesn't win out of turn, but she does have the speed to hold the polemarker's back and has experience on her side. Her best performances are when she leads, so behind the leader looks an appealing position. MATRIARCH DAISY (3) has gate speed, and she may be going better than her form suggests, having taken on a couple of smart ones lately. She's open to improvement. They seem to be the major chances, with LETS HIT IT (4), ZEE HOUTEN (5) and SWEET LADY LOU (6) all coming off last-start wins but striking a decent line-up here.

SELECTIONS: LANIKAI WARRIOR (1), MISSMALACHITE (8), MATRIARCH DAISY (3), SWEET LADY LOU (6)


10-UNIT GAME PLAN

R2 #2 MAJOR MAURIE – 2 units (win)

R4 #1 ROSBERG – 2 units (win)

R5 #3 IJUSTCANTSEEIT – 3 units (win)

R7 #8 MISTER THREEOFFIVE – 3 units (win)

EARLY QUADDIE

1,2,5,6/2,5,8/1,3,4,5,8,9/1,8,9

QUADDIE

3,5,8/1,2,3,4/4,8/2,4,5,6


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