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58 minutes ago

AI Analysis: Predicted winners, value & roughies on Caulfield Cup & Everest Day (17/10)

By SENTrack

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We’ve fed the fields and some prompts to AI to see if the robots can find us a few winners.

Check out the AI Analysis of the Caulfield Cup meeting and The Everest meeting at Royal Randwick.


Caulfield

Race 1 – Sportsbet Classic (G3) - 2000m

Winner: Vallice (2)
Second behind Miss Waititi at Flemington on a Heavy 10 last time. Out to the right distance now. Progressive and looks the one to beat.

Best value: Russian Rock (6)
Wasn’t far off a pair that ran well in last weekend’s Guineas. Craig Williams taking the ride is a major plus. Strong each-way appeal.

Best Roughie: Cignetti (3)
Knocking on the door. Blake Shinn stays on and gets barrier 1. Capable of a big run at the price.

Top 4: 2, 6, 4, 3

Summary: Vallice is a solid favourite and lends on top with form and class. Russian Rock maps perfectly and is good value, while Cignetti and Aragog complete the top four.


Race 2 – Ethereal Stakes (G3) - 2000m

Winner: Miss Waititi (2)
Impressive last-start winner of the Super Impose. Craig Williams sticks. Highest rated and on an Oaks pathway. Soft barrier (2) and looks the one to beat.

Danger: Fringilla (8)
Led them and kicked away to win easily at Geelong last time. Ethan Brown stays on. Can be handy from barrier 3.

Best roughie: Quick Finish (4)
Back-to-back wins, drawn nicely and maps well. A value hope.

Top 4: 2, 8, 4, 1

Summary: Miss Waititi is the rightful solid favourite and gets the vote on class and an ideal draw. Fringilla is the main danger, while Quick Finish is a great value option.


Race 3 – Alinghi Stakes (Listed) - 1100m

Winner: Geegees Mistruth (1)
Drops sharply from Group 1 level. Is the class runner who is a strong winning hope if afforded some luck.

Best value: Photograph (9)
Ran well behind the flying Point Barrow and is the main danger to the favourite.

Best roughie: Eagle Express (7)
Strong start to this prep in Sydney. Damian Lane takes the ride and has the Chris Waller polish.

Top 4: 1, 9, 7, 8

Summary: Geegees Mistruth is a short but solid favourite. Should win on class. Photograph is the best value, while Eagle Express can also win ahead of Signature Scent.


Race 4 – Gothic Stakes (Listed) - 1400m

Winner: I Am Aria (13)
Took a lovely finish from Over The Bridge to touch him off last time. A strong winning hope.

Best value: Star Of Macedon (4)
Knocked off his maiden after four good runs. Capable of winning this.

Best roughie: Zoehrer (11)
Huge class rise but was impressive at Seymour. Can run well at a nice price.

Top 4: 12, 4, 11, 3

Summary: I Am Aria offers the best value, while Star Of Macedon, Zoehrer and Zambales must be considered.


Race 5 – Harry White Stakes (G3) - 1400m

Winner: Private Eye (1)
Clear class runners on ratings. Loves this particular track and distance. Can sit near the speed form barrier 2.

Best value: Zou Sensation (6)
Can jump and lead. Has three wins at Caulfield and usually runs fairly well. Each-way chance.

Best roughie: Willaidow (3)
Rachel King is on a high after winning the Guineas. Races well first-up and suited at 1400m. Value.

Top 4: 1, 2, 6, 3

Summary: Private Eye is a solid favourite and gets the vote on pure class. War Machine is the main danger, while Zou Sensation and Willaidow can both win and represent good value.


Race 6 – Henley Homes Sprint (G2) - 1000m

Winner: Cavalry Girl (2)
Model of consistency who has run in the quinella in her last seven starts. Looks the one to beat.

Best value: Bev’s Nine (5)
Blake Shinn sticks, is 2/2 from second-up and unbeaten in three runs at 1000m. Excellent each-way appeal.

Best roughie: Don’t Hope Do (7)
Can jump and lead. Loves this trip (6:2-0-3) and should give a good sight.

Top 4: 2, 5, 6, 7

Summary: Cavalry Girl is a solid favourite and deservedly so. Bev’s Nine is the main danger. Pallaton another winning chance. Don’t Hope Do is a knockout hope.


Race 7 – Thousand Guineas (G1) - 1600m

Winner: Saintly Dancer (3)
Trounced her opposition by six lengths at Flemington last start. Soft barrier (4) and looks the one to beat.

Best value: De Armas (4)
William Pike takes the ride for Chis Waller. Strong form with a G1 second behind Global Goal last start. Excellent each-way appeal.

Best roughie: Icelady (5)
Ethan Brown is very happy with the filly who beat Saintly Dancer in the Thousand Guineas Prelude. Capable of a big run at a nice price.

Top 5: 3, 4, 9, 8, 5

Summary: Saintly Dancer on top due to her dominant last-start win. De Armas offers good value, while Regal Ambition and Over The Bridge must be respected. Icelady is over the odds. Regal Ambition can win. Open race.


Race 8 – Blue Sapphire Stakes (G3) - 1200m

Winner: Over Excited (12)
Damian Lane rides for Anthony & Sam Freedman. Didn’t handle the Heavy track last time. Form behind Satono Glow prior reads well for this.

Best value: Threads (3)
Led them up and won convincingly here over 1100m last time out. Strong each-way appeal.

Best roughie: Barracks (9)
Broke his maiden in fine fashion at Rosehill. Runner-up Affari won by 3.5 lengths on Wednesday. Value play.

Top 4: 12, 3, 5, 9

Summary: Over Excited is a fair favourite and gets the nod on potential. Doubt Time is the main danger, while Threads and Barracks are good value runners.


Race 9 – Caulfield Cup (G1) - 2400m

Winner: Saint George (12)
Craig Williams takes the ride for Ciaron Maher. Soft barrier (2) and maps perfectly in a tough staying race. A great winning hope.

Best value: Zahrann (16)
Ddin’t like the Heavy track in the Turnbull. Her Naturalism win suggests she is right in this. Can bounce back on a Good track from a nice draw (4).

Best roughie: Half Yours (1)
Last year’s Cups double champion. Is ticking along nicely and can win if he handles the 57.5kg. Unbeaten at 2400m and beyond.

Top 4: 12, 16, 1, 10

Summary: Open Caulfield Cup. Saint George gets the vote narrowly from stablemate Zahrann who offers good value. Half Yours and international raider Wine Dark Sea complete a strong top four.


Race 10 – Nationwide Tristarc Stakes (G2) - 1400m

Winner: Shadhavar (4)
Back from Adelaide after a narrow second at Murray Bridge. Recently beat Persian Spirit at Caulfield who won here last Saturday. Loves this track and distance (3:1-2-0).

Danger: Concord Connie (10)
Clearly the danger to our top pick. Rolled over at shorts odds at Mornington but can bounce back. Very smart mare.

Best roughie: Terilee (10)
Consistent mare who is always thereabouts. A chance at odds.

Top 4: 4, 12, 9, 10

Summary: Shadhavar gets the vote. Concord Connie has potential but siding with the value. Gold Medallist and Terilee are in the mix.



Randwick

Race 1 – Big Dance Wild Card - 1600m

Winner: Matias (6)
Kerrin McEvoy rides from a nice draw (1). Progressive and handles the expected conditions well. Looks the one to beat.

Best value: Lord Of Biscay (3)
James McDonald and a soft draw (2). Higher rated than the favourite and strong each-way appeal on a rain-affected track. Won’t want it too heavy though…

Best roughie: Pier Pressure (9)
Capable of a big run at the price on the expected wet track.

Top 4: 6, 3, 7, 9

Summary: Matias is a solid favourite from barrier 1 and gets the nod. Heavy track a query though. It’s A Knockout the obvious danger. Lord Of Biscay offers value with the soft draw and class edge, and Pier Pressure can run well at a price.


Race 2 – Reginald Allen Quality (G3) - 1400m

Winner: Calamari Ring (1)
Ben Melham rides for the in-form Ciaron Maher. Highest rated and progressive. Soft barrier (3) and looks the one to beat on a rain-affected track.

Danger: Pin Up Sheila (2)
Zac Lloyd and a nice draw (4). Handles wet surfaces. Strong winning hope.

Best value: Low Key (3)
Tim Clark sticks fear steering her to a maiden win last time. Capable of a big run at the price if she handles the track conditions.

Top 4: 1, 2, 4, 3

Summary: Calamari Ring lands on top, now out to 1400m and with the ideal barrier. Pin Up Sheila is the main danger and best value, while Saffron Veil (favourite) and Low Key complete the top four.


Race 3 – Angst Stakes (G3) - 1600m

Winner: Vivy Air (4)
James McDonald rides and plummets in class from a Group 1. Drawn well (3) and usually runs well on a soft track, so just has to handle the heavy.

Danger: Polymnia (7)
Zac Lloyd sticks. Knocking on the door. Handles it soft and ready to win.

Best value: Churchill’s Choice (2)
Has raced well second-up and likes this distance. Strong each-way appeal.

Top 4: 4, 7, 2, 8

Summary: Vivy Air gets the vote on class and the ideal barrier. Churchill’s Choice offers the best value, while Unleashing (favourite) and Polymnia are also winning chances.


Race 4 – St Leger Stakes (G3) - 2600m

Winner: So You Are (4)
In form and Bjorn Baker stable going well. Can get a good spot from gate 1 and likes it wet.

Best value: Bella Montagna (12)
Consistent mare who is racing well of late. Likes Soften and Heavy tracks as well as Randwick.

Best roughie: Newlook (2)
Roughie who likes it wet. Gets the trip.

Top 4: 4, 12, 2, 8

Summary: So You Are is the rightful favourite after Juja Kibo scratching. Bella Montagna can win at nice odds. Newlook the knockout.


Race 5 – The Kosciuszko - 1200m

Winner: Chidiac (2)
James McDonald rides. Unbeaten first-up from three attempts. Handles wet. Looks the one to beat in an open affair.

Best value: Band Of Brothers (1)
Nash Rawiller in the saddle. Great Soft and Heavy form. Races well at 1200m.

Best roughie: Cruizingthestars (14)
Three from three on Soft surfaces so can handle the wet. Building a nice record. Can run well at odds.

Top 4: 2, 10, 1, 14

Summary: Chidiac gets the vote on pure class. So You Pence is the main danger, while Band Of Brothers and Cruizingthestars can make their presence felt.


Race 6 – Sydney Stakes (G2) - 1200m

Winner: Marhoona (15)
Jamie Melham on for Michael Freedman. Well drawn (5). Looks the one to beat on a rain-affected track.

Best value: Grafterburners (6)
Nash Rawiller and a soft draw (2). Capable of a big run at the price.

Best roughie: Pericles (3)
Loves the sting out and has a remarkable Heavy record (7:1-4-1). Also goes very well second-up (8:3-2-2).

Top 4: 15, 6, 3, 13

Summary: Marhoona gets the vote on form and the ideal barrier. Grafterburners, Pericles, Skybird and Overpass among then other hopes in a wide open race.


Race 7 – The TAB Everest (G1) - 1200m

Winner: Ka Ying Rising (1)
Clear class standout on ratings and form. Looks the one to beat despite the barrier and as long as he handles the wet.

Best value: Tempted (9)
Strong each-way appeal. Clear danger and a genuine winning hope. Four from four on a Soft track.

Best roughie: Joliestar (8)
Consistent mare. James McDonald and Chris Waller. Handles wet. Capable of a big run at the price.

Top 4: 1, 9, 8, 2

Summary: Ka Ying Rising is a short but deserved favourite and lands on top due to pure dominance. Tempted offers the best value, while Joliestar and Jimmysstar must be respected.


Race 8 – Silver Eagle (Listed) - 1300m

Winner: Beiwacht (1)
Nash Rawiller on for Chris Waller. Highest rated and the perfect barrier (1). Looks the one to beat if he gets a niece run in transit.

Danger: Skyhook (3)
Has returned in fine fashion with two wins this prep. Heavy track won’t be an issue.

Best roughie: Platinum Pantheon (9). Rain-affected track a plus. Steps up in class but has been super consistent.

Top 4: 1, 3, 8, 9

Summary: Beiwacht on top. Skyhook is a fair favourite and the main danger, while Decorum and Platinum Pantheon are in the mix.


Race 9 – King Charles III Stakes (G1) - 1609m

Winner: Autumn Glow (5)
James McDonald for Chris Waller. Clear class standout on ratings and form. Looks the one to beat.

Best value: Ceolwulf (1)
Racing well. Strong each-way appeal as the main danger. Likes it wet.

Best roughie: Just Folk (3)
Consistent and a wet tracker. Chance to run well at massive odds.

Top 4: 5, 1, 3, 2

Summary: Autumn Glow is a short but deserved favourite and has to be on top. Ceolwulf maps perfectly and offers the best value, while Just Folk can run well.


Race 10 – HKJC World Pool Handicap (BM88) - 1400m

Winner: Man Of Worth (15)
James McDonald rides for Chris Waller. Soft barrier (2) and progressive. Goes well first-up but just needs to handle the surface.

Best value: Ertijaaj (18)
Won impressively last start. Capable of a big run if he gets a start.

Best roughie: Miss Spacegirl (16)
Scratched last week. Handles wet and likes Randwick. Can figure at odds.

Top 4: 15, 3, 18, 16

Summary: Man Of Worth from the ideal barrier is the top pick at odds. Cross Tasman is a fair favourite and the main danger, while Ertijaaj and Miss Spacegirl must be considered.


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