Tasmanian thoroughbred racing is in Hobart on Sunday, following on from an eight-race card in Launceston on Sunday night.

The rail moves to +0.5m after being at +11m on Melbourne Cup Day. The track should be in the 5-6 range.

See the best bets from Matt Reid, courtesy of Tasracing.com.au.

Best bet

Race 6 – 3. Stollaway Ned

Stollaway Ned gets out to the staying trip for the first time at start five in a campaign where he has mostly faced better opposition than he’ll meet on Sunday. He chased home two smart horses in Launceston last start, hitting the line well to suggest he’s looking for the extra distance. He’s drawn soft with the state’s best rider aboard and looks the clear standout in the race.

Next best

Race 7 – 3. Street Diva

Street Diva has raced without a lot of luck this preparation, including last start where she rattled home up the rail to finish behind a pair of horses who will be near the head of the market in Friday night’s 3YO Cup. She’s a very consistent mare, particularly at this track and distance, with a win and a placing from two attempts. She’s drawn awkwardly (7/9) but with an overdue change of luck, I have her right in the finish.

Best value

Race 4 – 11. Sh’bourne Top Gun

This race has been knocked around with the scratching of early favourite Geegees Avalanche, and I think his stablemate, Sh’bourne Top Gun, is well over the odds. He’s shown in three Launceston starts that he still has a bit to learn, but I liked the way he hit the line last start behind Sounds of Peace. First start at Hobart should hold no fears for a Stuart Gandy-trained horse, and I expect him to be charging home late.

Selections

Race 1: 1-2-3-6
Race 2: 7-12-8-15
Race 3: 3-6-2-4
Race 4: 11-1-3-13
Race 5: 1-4-9-5
Race 6: 3-9-5-4
Race 7: 3-4-1-2
Race 8: 4-2-3-5

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